09 economics: Can humanity survive a wave that doubles life critical change every year for 40 years

[chris macrae]

  dec 2010 the last 3 months of research in economist boardrooms and where economists meet publicly in dc have shone a little bit of sunlight on this problem - bureaucrat economists including government and big banks and most journalists have defined economics to exclude futures extreme innovation; every day now in washington dc you can sit through 90 minutes of experts debating how to repair usa economy, and when you ask why the internet's job creation economy isnt included in all their fiddling with taxes and currencies and stimuli and political negotiaotions etc there is a deathly silence and then they turn on you -that's not what economics studies

 

 

 

well I am sorry but if economists dont include what's compound dynamics are changing exponentials in their remit they are absolutely worthless and there is no polite way round that in 4 generations of my family's experience, or adam smiths reasoning for reasoning 

 

if you buy into this being a huge problem, resourcewise I would far rather it was hosted somewhere else but for the moment I will scribble some expoentials stimuli at http://normanmacrae.ning.com ;  it may be that its good news that economically the microfinance model is no longer independent of the internet purpose model as we can afford to let big banks sponsor professors of mfi in endless and meaningless debates if we help youth win the net purpose model (exciting 2010s)

 

 

---

 

Can humanity survive a wave that doubles life critical change every year for 40 years

---

 

 

some clues

 

understand history's waves even if they weren't doubling so fast - lets define a wave that goes through at least 20 doublings:

.. wave generated around 1492 by ships demontrating world was round   wave generated by steam engine (typically 50 years of exploitation by old power (english upper classes which over next 50 years then progressively removed from control of future's impacts while its officials still belived they were powerfully riuling the world)   wave generated by electric media including mass (command and control) media ( typically 50 years of usa capitalism 1.0 which was relatively good for the world but got dismally lost in superpower gov ideologies and  tv spots between 1945-1975)    wave generated by electronic chips and much more microscopic interactions than newtons mechanics including interactive (all way round Q&A ) media -the one that will determine at least 10 fold increase of human productivity on optimistic scenario or plant irreversible loss of future genrations by 2024 - making 2010s the most exciting decade! with bangaldesh sustainability solutiions world trade centre in midst of asia pacific century .

. if economics (in the way keynes defined as being what rules all other man mades systems) can't help all 7 billion people question transparently several value multiplying waves ahead, it mathematically probable that we can't sustain the human race   the generation 1984-2024 is facing this crisis of compound opportunity and threat - its not just moores curve of doubling intensity of silicon chips , its all the impacts waves have ever propagated through history;   how people transport themselves including the fascinating question will your livelihood depend more on people you physically work with or knowledge of yours that is replicable worldwide or helps whole networks of people transform from trading in wasteful thing consumption to value multiplying knowhow services   what they communicate and believe is knowledge   what products and services they value exchange and so grow sustainable communities out of   mathematically the greatest compound risks becomes boundaries - where people fight intsead of interfacing win-wins the way nature expects systems that live on to do   groups who were used to empowering over or extracting from others now being invited to transform to multiple win models or