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Comment on: Topic 'Curriculum of Entrepreneurial Revolution - can you help us? wanted viral youth…'
===================== replacing what keynsians had valued (see last chapter of general theory). Ironically it was Keynes (Macrae's inspiration at Cambridge) who had explained how the monopolies of analysis economist creates pose the greatest compound threat to the future of youth and especially of girls ( after all children are born with no assets nor voting on the future, and in some war-prone cultures girls are born with even less)  net net nature's greatest evolutionary experiment on human sustainability will hub round livelihoods og QuarterBillionGirls - who come of working age 2005-2030 - the post industrial age unlike the thing extraction age depends on exponential growth of people and community. This is how future history should be when you analyse the 4000 fold increase in budget allovcated to Learning Communications Technologies 2030 versus 1946 - moores law doubling of LCT spend every 7 years - the entreprenurial revolution making others communications chnages from invention of printing press to steam engines mobility look like blips on the richer scale of development of woman and planet how many of the next billion green jobs will they linkin; how many of the billion renew community jobs ==================== chris macrae- I love to exchange ideas from my diary of first 40 trips to asia 1982-2017 - 8 trips to beijing and 1 to Mao's birth place Changsha - best contacts washington dc text 240 316 8157 - e: chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk 2007 started 15 trips to Bangladesh 1982 started 5 trips to Indonesia 1982 started 4 trips to Singapore 1984 started 4 trips to India 1985 started 9 trips to Japan 1986 started 3 trips to Thailand 1992 started 4 trips to Malaysia 1996 1 trip to Hong Kong 1 to South Korea     on each visit I realise at some deep level how I have even more to learn- Asian does that to my family's tree of itinerant scots -its the most amazing innovation privilege- of asia pacific century (compare with how Q3 of Japan started up eastern Hemispheres race for inspiring human livelihoods) and how do we change focus of economists to multi-win models? which books have been published in WCB genre? what are the greatest collaboration goals of first quarter of 21st C- given the definition f the bet generation as one single generation connected by the greatest communications changes ever, what action networks will need to be exponentialy rising by 2010s if the wholeplanet is to sustain children - more WCBN questions World Class Brands network founded 1988 on Norman Macrae's retirement from The Economist- for media experts who believe media can sustain good - case 1 The Economist purpose 1843- key questions 1988 - who brand's a nation's 2 purposes- its local future? its borderless world future?  how can worldwide youth celebrate …
Added by chris macrae at 1:03pm on April 18, 2018
Topic: Obituary: Norman Macrae @ The Economist
e the future AD -valuetrue seeks partners to MOOC youth economics Daily Telegraph: The Economist's internal spirit;   The Scotsman - the internet's futurist AD- SaintJames.tv help celebrate 175th of The Economist by co-publishing The Book of World Record Job Creators The Atlantic -  "someone you never knew existed"  India Times - Prophet of Change ; New Statesman "entire career at The Economist" ; Matt Ridley - death of a great optimist London Times - subscription - journalist who changed minds and opened many more ; Pot-TEX : a giant of journalism Sweden's JanErik Larsson - people you never forget .. Future Historian - Critical Challenge Dateline Resources 1972 1984 M3 2030 2025 2018 2015  …
Added by chris macrae at 1:35pm on March 3, 2014
Topic: sustainability lessons from 2 world wars
nations- inconvenoently one of stalin and hitler would be a winner from world war 1 it was important to learn that you may defeat bad nation leaders but you can't really take other peoples countries, especially immocent colonies of defeated nations- dong that will leave huge populations of hate to fester often at unlivaable borders long run what had compounded as the biggest problem was rhat adam smith and james watt engines from the 1760s had not been distributed worldwide - huge nimbers of people still had no access to electricity grids and were under colonial rule - each of the wealthiest white nations had somewhat different reconciliations to make - in the case of canada and usa native people had been all but subject to genocide ; in usa africans had originally been enslaved; additionally mexicans/latin americans could argue that the wonderful west coast (most of california) had been taken from them by texans who decided they wanted the coast of course when you look east of europe britain (or more precisely london's capitalism) had empired over the vasr majority of asia ; while about 2/3 of tofay\'s human race are asian - perhaps less than 10% had accessed machines by mid of 20th C; japan the one oriental empire had been reduced to rubble by american nuclear bombs while remaining unpoular among any asians it had previusly colonieed ; largely france and britain had divided ip much of africa; the netherlands had swapped new york with uk to mainly develop indonesia (and retained a share of south africa - the cross-seas location until the panam cana as wll as full of mining riches); the spanish still held the philippines what happened immediately after the war is amazing -the uk had bankrupted itself defending europe; so it ceded indepence ro almost half of the world's people living on teh subcontient of asia - but left the top-down governace structure and incredibly conflicting borders primarily between hindhi and mysuim --------------------- particulatly 2 americans knowledge-alimni proved valuable to asia where applied it in the 1950s beginning with japan korea raiwan *then islands of hk and sinagpore; village productivity with crops could be multi-plied several times - promising both rural keynesiaism (full employment) and end of starvation to agricultural peopels by deming continuous quality improvement on engines - the world's moist efficient unberground, bullet tarins, containersiaion of port could genesate supercities over 10 million people dependent on 3 trades - within the city , to the rural area; internationally with other supercities- here was a win-win trarding model designed round just in time small enterprise supply chains; indeed shipping value chain was much less costly than huge overland exchanges; so iy  was possible asia rising models could map all over asia if and only of the top down governmemt and hostile borders could be removed; unfortunately the americans who now policed the world did not have time to fully understand this sustainability opportunity ;jfkennedy understood buut was assisnated 1963; instead of seizing the opportunity to mapp win-win trades future american president spent more and more on arms - admittedly partly in a cold war with russia but also because nobody in the west ever really valued community sustainability and small enterprises; and yet there was another story brewing - von neumann peer netwo9rks delivered a legacy of 100 times more tech per decade; the logic of this was new startups would make the most of this; hence by 1976 the economist could publish entrepereneuioal revolution - the main agenda of each next 100 time more tech decade was to replace bib corporate and big gov by entrepreneurial networks of the sme kind www.entrepreneurialrevolution.city…
Added by chris macrae at 11:07am on April 12, 2022
Comment on: Topic 'Norman Macrae : Books & Surveys at The Economist'
Macrae argued that "methods of operation in business are going to change radically in the next few decades, in a direction opposite to that which most businessmen and nearly all politicians expect". The survey aroused enthusiasm and infuriation in almost equal measure, with invitations to lecture in more than 20 countries. Today Macrae updates his views on management methods that can make even lousy businesses profitable, and those that are driving tighter organizations to the wall. Big goes bust The 1976 survey argued that the world was probably drawing to the end of the era of big business corporations, because it would soon be seen to be nonsense to have hierarchical managements sitting in skyscraping offices trying to arrange how brainworkers (who in future would be most workers) could best use their imaginations. The main increases in employment would henceforth come either in small firms or in those bigger firms that managed to split themselves into smaller and smaller profit centres which would need to become more and more entrepreneurial. As so often with supposedly controversial journalism, this proved to be an exercise in tentatively forecasting something that had already begun to happen a decade before, although it honestly was the opposite of what was being most widely reported at the time. In 1976 the textbooks being most assiduously fed to business courses were still Ken Galbraith's. "The new industrial state" and Jean-Jacques Servan-Schreiber's "Le definamericain", each of which was a bible to the advocates of industrial policies then subsidising British Steels, British Leylands and Projects Concorde into growing inefficiently larger and therefore irretrievably bust. These mergers were procreated on the thesis, explicitly stated by Ken Galbraith, that markets had been replaced by planning in favor of big technostructures so that large organizations like Chrysler or United States Steel did not lose money any more. "By all but the pathologically romantic", cried Ken Galbraith in 1967, "it is now recognized that this is not the age of the small man". He believed that the most economic size for business corporations in the future could be "'very, very large". Shortly before these two books were -written and, instantly reached the best-selling lists, precisely the opposite trends had remorselessly begun to occur. By 1965 small workplaces were already outperforming big ones on almost every count. Even in idealistic occupations, British hospitals with under 100 beds had between one half and two thirds the sickness rates among nurses as hospitals with more than 100 beds. I got my saddest quote of the late 1970s from the manager of a huge factory in Manchuria (though he could find echoes at Detroit, London Airport, Kama River): "During the period of disruption by the gang of four many workers came only on pay-days, some carrying placards saying I was a fly on top of putrescent meat. With 10,(XX) comrades here, it was impossible to check the absenteeism, pilfering and work-dodging that went on". The biggest world political event since the 1960s is that communist countries have proved less able than free-market ones to escape from inefficient giantism in state factories and farms, so they are all going bust. In free-market countries managers are eventually more willing to lose face than their shareholders are to lose money, but tough problems are arising as even capitalist giants slim. Since the mid-1960s the thousand biggest firms in the United States have as a group been sensibly reducing their labour forces, and more than the whole of the 15m private-sector jobs created since then have come in smaller firms-the majority of the new extra jobs at any one time being in firms less than five years old, even though more than half of new small American firms disappear out of business in their first five years. Although survey dates are jumbled, the accompanying inadequate charts suggest the same trend is accelerating even in manufacturing across the capitalist world. The present capitalist conjuncture is therefore one where the bigger and more stable firms are running down their employment, while more than the whole of net new employment is provided by small firms which, however, frequently go bust. Ow! And some thought needs to be given to ways of combining the advantages of small firms within big ones. Make departments minifirms In my 1976 survey I suggested there would be two trends-in the most conventional of which, greater reliance on subcontracting, I now think I was jejune. Subcontracting works only when the big firm has very tight quality control (as have Marks and Spencer, big Japanese companies towards tiny component makers and the superbly entrepreneurial Italian textile industry, see later). Subcontracting does not work when the big firm cannot measure what quality is, so that many management consultants, public relations firms etc. are about to disappear because they are high-cost ramps. The second system I suggested in 1976 was that dynamic corporations of the future should simultaneously be trying several alternative ways of doing things in competition within themselves, becoming what have later been called confederations of "intrapreneurs". Two key concepts for efficient businesses here. First, the right size for each profit centre or intrapreneurial group-by which I mean a group of friends working together in daily productivity hunt towards the same objective-is very small, probably not more than 10 or 11 people, however dynamic your top management. Jesus Christ tried 12, and that proved one too many. Second, firms should not pay people for attendance at the workplace but should pay competing groups for modules of work done. Thus, if you need a typing pool, I have suggested it might be best to set up several competing groups of Typists Intrapreneurial. You would offer an index linked contract to the group for a set period, specifying the services you wanted in return for a lump-sum monthly payment. The typists would apportion the work among themselves, devise their own flexitime, choose their own lifestyles, decide whether to replace a leaver by a full-timer or part-timer or whether to do her work and keep more money per head. They could also decide whether to tender for extra paid work from outside. In offices with tomorrow's equipment, there could, see later, be a lot. A trivial example? By comparison with the gains that can be made in other fields it is. Yet the EEC court of auditors has recently ruled that the proper output for a typist is around 24 pages a day, and was upset that in some EEC departments the average, was only 12. In The Economist on a print-day Wednesday, when we are feeling rather participatory, a top secretary will type around 60 pages. If some EEC departments went over to that pace through being Typists Intrapreneurial, the stenographers could choose to work only one day a week for the same weekly wage as now, or by slowing recruitment they could work for up to five times their existing wages for the same present attendance at the office, or they could become five times more efficient. In practice, competition would ensure a mixture of the three, and the scope in most other parts of the business and bureaucratic jungle is much vaster. This survey will explore that wider jungle, starting from the intrapreneurial mechanisms needed to breed new projects and going on through to those needed eventually to kill outdated ones (and make it participatory fun to send them to South Korea). About 85% of all the industrial R & D expenditure in the United States takes place in 300 large corporations. It is done very wastefully. Towards inventors intrapreneurial About 70,000 patents are issued in the United States each year. Of these, maybe 60,000 are never heard of again, because most are horse manure. There will be some hidden pearls among it, and more could be found if patent offices were more intrapreneurial instead of often being inefficient government filing offices, some not even properly computerized. Governments should establish competing intrapreneurial teams in patent offices, compiling competing databases. Of the perhaps 10,000 new patents a year round the world that are used, only about 10-20 a year are for what the co-inventor of the ubiquitous integrated circuit, Mr. Jack Kilby, calls "major" inventions things that change our lives. A list of the world's major inventions over the past 50 years shows that big organizations claim to have discovered only around a third of them, and some of their claims are fibs. More than two thirds have been discovered by individuals or small businesses. The individual inventors' list of the past 50 years turns alphabetically from air conditioning, automatic transmissions and ballpoint pens, through jet engines and penicillin, to xerography and the zipper. The big companies' list runs more predictably through crease-resistant fabrics, float glass, synthetic detergents. Note how these fit with corporate objectives; "We are a big textile or soap company, so go for something capital-intensive". "We are Pilkington's Glass, and if we can beat plate glass by developing float glass, then every motor car in the world will eventually pay us a royalty, so it is worth carrying on with research into solving the last three problems in the way of float glass even through 12 consecutive years of negative cash flow." Nobody should underestimate the tangible and intrapreneurial excitement among a tiny group of researchers when such a big firm's opportunity presents itself. Sir Alastair Pilkington has described how his research group into float glass was kept small enough to maintain total secrecy, so that experiments had been in progress for seven years before competitors knew of them; how several of his team members, after working impossibly long hours, were carried away on stretchers suffering from heat exhaustion; how 100,000 tons of float glass were made and broken before the great day which produced the first bit they could sell. But, to quote Jack Kilby again, each invention presents a profile of opportunities and requirements, while each company has its own profile of what constitutes to it an acceptable product. The probability that these two profile, will coincide in any given case is not very high. The result is that many big companies' brilliant researchers are, in conditions of great secrecy, in their seventh consecutive year of smashing unusable float glass. The Pinchot proposals The most promising set of incentives for R and D departments to stray down interesting byways has been suggested by Mr. Gifford Pinchot III of Mr. Bob Schwartz's Tarrytown School for Entrepreneurs near New York, and they are being tried out by some clients of the new School for Intrapreneurs run by the Foresight Group management consultancy in Sweden. I should have introduced Mr. Pinchot before, because he is the inventor of the word "intrapreneurs", in a paper which paid kindly tribute to my 1976 survey. His description of what is happening in semi-reforming big corporations. Decentralization alone is not enough. In a hierarchical organization, promotions can be won by special graces, loyalty to one's boss and general political skills. Courage, original thought, and ability to observe the obvious do not necessarily lead to success. If we are to get really good problem-solving in our decentralized corporations, we must introduce a system that gives the decision to those who get successful results, not to the inoffensive. Such people will be willing to take moderate risks and will be more concerned with achieving results than gaining influence. These are among the characteristics of the successful entrepreneur. What is needed in the large corporation is not more semi-independent departments run by hard-driving yes men, but something akin to free-market entrepreneurship within the corporate organizations. His recommendations about intra-capital, see the next two paragraphs, could prove one of the great social inventions. Under Mr. Pinchot's proposals for R and D departments a researcher wishing to plunge intrapreneurially into some project would initially have to risk something of value to himself; such as 10% of the costs of a project, up to 20% of his salary for the duration of a project and two years thereafter. A committee within the company would then contract to "buy" completed research in an intrapreneurial scheme for both cash bonuses and intra-capital. If a company makes $lm on a project, the intrapreneur's share might be $100,000, of which only $10,000 might come in cash and $90,000 might come in intra-capital which the intrapreneur can invest on the corporation's behalf in future R and D projects of his own choice. If he is successful again, his reward will be another cash bonus (probably larger the second time) plus more intra-capital. This system, says Mr. Pinchot, motivates creative staff to think practically and frees their individual initiative. It minimizes politics and maximizes performance as a criterion for advancement. It rapidly puts a portion of the company's R and D budget in the hands of proven winners. It gives any good research staffer a strong reason to stay with the company, since leaving would mean giving up control of his accumulated intra-capital. My own variant of the Pinchot scheme would put less emphasis on the idea of the company undertaking projects, more on it helping to farm them out, while still rewarding the intrapreneurial inventor in Pinchot's way. To quote Mr. Ralph Landau (founder of Halcon International, and one of America's most successful entrepreneurs), there are two stages in innovation: (a) the conception or invention of a new or improved process, product or system; (b) the commercialization of it. Stage (b), the commercialization, will generally cost between two and ten times as much as stage (a). This great expense of commercialization for products that do not fit a particular firm's "profile"creates a danger. Intrapreneurialism in R and D will not go fast enough if it becomes a device for regruntling touchy young Boffin by pretending to put his wheeze along the company's existing production and distribution lines that are quite unfitted for it. Which leads to supermarkets for ideas. A big next vogue should be the sale of ideas telecommunicated between computer terminals. Everybody should have different ideas on how to tie intra-capital into these and how the offering firm can sift for quality; but, once competing mechanisms are established, sales of ideas should be decided intrapreneurialy, as sales of goods already are in firms whose salesmen are virtually independent businessmen working on commission. Franchising extends this concept. The only sales element subject to "tight central control" in such companies is the salesmen's expense account, which is therefore the one element on which the central controller is always swindled. A steel mill's eels Mr. Pinchot's group at Tarrytown is soon going to establish in America the world's second school for intrapreneurs. The first started when the Foresight Group (itself originally four intrapreneurial Swedes operating from their homes) in 1980 persuaded some Swedish client companies to announce on their internal notice boards: "any would-be intrapreneur come to a meeting". In most companies 40-60 turned up, about equally upper-blue-collar and middle-management. The school wanted 2-4 from each company for the first course, each with a separate specific intrapreneurial idea. Twelve people lasted through the first Swedish course, which consisted of six meetings-the first of a week, the next five each of three days. The course tried to turn each fuzzy idea into a business concept, then into a business plan. From those first graduates in 1981 there are now emerging (eg) two use-of waste-heat projects (one man is pumping a steel mill's heat into a pond that breeds eels, another a paper mill's heat and computer knowhow into some computerized greenhouses); a man from a building company is making prefabricated concrete elevator shafts (likely to boom in Sweden because of new environmental rules demanding too many lifts for the handicapped); and an Esso man is converting repair garages behind filling stations (many of which are closing) into places to store and lease out do-it-your-self equipment. Some of these look more like the creation of small new capitalists than intrapreneurial ventures, but Sweden's silly tax law (which is suspicious of the transfer of forgone income to capital) makes intra-capital difficult. It would be wise for all governments to alter this sort of tax law. Other government policies "in favour of entrepreneurship" make less sense. Gadarene pearls Nobody should be in favour of governments granting special credit and other favours to small and innovative firms. If governments are ass enough artificially to increase supply by granting special favours, Silicon Valleys are going to go quickly bust. As a test case, suppose this is 1946. Here are some accurate market forecasts for the succeeding seven years for a product that alters the living habits of over two thirds of the population of the world. In 1946-53 sales of this product in the United States will increase by over 10,000%. America's production costs in this very high-technology industry are now, in 1946, below anybody else's and the quality of American production is higher. The number of firms in the United States making this eminently exportable product will multiply four times over in 1946-53, and after 1953 the sort of growth in purchases about to be experienced in the United States will eventually spread to countries including more than two thirds of the population of the world. You now have to decide whether to put taxpayers' money into this industry (a) in 1946, (b) in 1953. The industry concerned, as you may have guessed, is that producing television sets or major television parts in America. Even in the boom years 1946-53 less than half of the American firms sometime operating in this market ever showed a really healthy positive cash flow, and in the five years after 1953 more than three quarters closed down, increasingly on terms equivalent to going bust. Moreover, this is not an exceptional case-except in so far as it was an exceptionally fortunate one because the product called television actually caught on. This is likely to be the usual experience in today's go-go industries like microprocessors or biological implants or laser technology or whatever new product you will first hear of tomorrow. It has been the usual experience in yesterday's went-went industries like airlines or computer leasing or washing machines or real estate investment trusts-even when there has been an incredible increase in demand for their products. Correct forecasts for 1950-82: passenger miles flown in airlines will increase by 3,200%, and by 1982 all the biggest airlines will be going bust. The present trendiest policy of governments at the equivalent of television's 1946 stage is to provide cheap loans to small technological firms, thus ensuring that the number in the market multiplies six instead of four times over, so 90% instead of 75% eventually go bust. At the 1953 stage the problem is not just that the domestic market is going over to replacement demand. The problem is that the industry is now established, so a Taiwan without trade unions and lower wages may take it over. What you do as a taxpayer at the 1953 stage, with far too many firms in the market, is scream because your equivalent of a national enterprise board will be introducing yet another one, since it has just heard that an exciting new technological product called television exists. What you do as a businessman is either (a) make money by switching operations to Taiwan; or (b) stick to quality control and follow the logical intrapreneurial policies for mature (not infant) firms. Next, some good news for old countries, making old-fashioned things. Mature intrapreneurial At the beginning of this century the two largest occupations in America and Britain were agriculture and domestic service, together employing around half the workforce. Today these two employ under 4% in each country, and until the 1960s it seemed probable that manufacturing employment in the world's rich north would drop the same way. Now the success of Japan, and the discovery small is more flexible, are good news for Europe's and America's manufacturers. When a multimillion-dollar factory with 10,000 men can produce more cheaply in Brazil than in Birmingham, the multimillion Eurodollars will roll to Rio, but probably not the $50,000 for a five -man Brazilian workshop lest the five and the $50,000 disappear to the bush. In my 1976 survey I argued that robots and computer-controlled manufacturing systems should make rich countries' manufactories smaller and more intrapreneurial, dreaming that some might become one-man workshops. This proved to be underdreaming since some Japanese small businessmen now have no-workman garden worksheds, where their unwatched leased secondhand robot system hammers out a component for some big factory, while the small businessman is touting entrepreneurially on the golf course for new orders. The Japanese have always based their continuing manufacturing miracle on tiny entrepreneurial component-makers (one Japanese worker in six now owns a small business) and on surprisingly small but brotherly profit centres even within huge plants. To quote Harvard University's Professor Ezra Vogel: The essential building block of a Japanese company is not a man with a particular role assignment and his secretary and assistants, as might be the case in an American company. The essential building block of the Organization is the section. A section might have perhaps eight or 10 people. Within the section there is not as sharp a division of labour as in an American company. To some extent, each person in the same section shares the same overall responsibility. If you go into a Japanese assembly-line factory, you first see the components flowing in (maybe from those automated no-workman garden sheds), and subjected to very tight quality check. At each stage along the automated assembly line, most of the regular workers are also just reading dials or otherwise checking for quality, usually in those co-operative sections of about eight men. The section is told at its daily post-breakfast meeting how many subsequent faults were later found in its checked products, compared with the allegedly larger number of faults missed by the equivalent section in a main rival company (loud banzai). At the end of one Japanese hi-fi-set assembly line near Osaka I once found a rather jolly crew actually doing manual work, packing the awkwardly shaped sets into cardboard boxes. They were not wearing Company uniforms. It had been decided that this measurable manual work, right there on the assembly line, could be contracted out to a separate tiny firm (virtually a workers' co-operative). Question: who decided how many workers should be on this job, and thus their working hours and income per head? Answer: the workers themselves, like my Typists Intrapreneurial. Mr. Revans's action learning The Japanese have become the world's best businessmen partly because they do not go to business schools. Indeed, they wisely do not believe in off-the-job government-subsidised training programmes for absolutely anything. One foreign management academic mentioned in Tokyo with real respect is the English Professor Reg Revans of the Manchester College of Science and Technology, of whom I had never previously heard. Since corresponding with Mr. Revans (who teaches that "the sudden decline of the English-speaking economies of Britain, Canada and the United States is partly a consequence of the rise of the academic business schools"), I see why his articles do not frequently appear in business school publications-although his 900-page hardback "The origin and growth of action learning" is about to be published in Sweden with help from Lord Weinstock and others. Mr. Revans's own system of "action learning" is to put a small (I would call "intrapreneurial") group of four or five people into the field with a mandate like "make the business side of that hospital more efficient", all the time recognizing: that managers learn with and from each other as they work together on real problems (or opportunities) for which no course of action (let alone solutions or policies have yet been agreed; since the problems are real, it is insufficient that the manager should discuss or diagnose them without also taking steps to treat them. An action learning project is thus a sustained and iterative attack, conducted in parallel with three or four others, upon a real problem by a real manager, regularly meeting his three or four colleagues to offer and receive advice, criticism and support about the diagnosis and treatment of the problem.... It is clear that these groups have some times brought real advances-for example, they helped to breed the supposed Japanese idea of "quality circles"-a well as being schoolmasters. A main difficulty is that real reform program generally require what Mr. Revans calls two dimensions: (a) the recognition that some particular activity needs to be ended, and then (b) a tremendous fight against those to be supplanted who have acquired reputations as experts in the prosecution of what needs to be wound up. We are approaching the problem of making lame ducks fly. Two that did: Flour and textiles One of the few top 500 American companies to have grown in the past two, decades was in 1960 the largest flour miller in the world. Pause to ponder whether you would expect this to be an expansive business, and what you would, advise it to do with its flour mills. Answer: not expansive, and this firm prospered mightily by closing half the flour mills in America down. It got out of businesses making 40% of its previous revenue, and split into more than 6 separate companies, some doing very different things. Next question: would you a expect corporate planner to recommend some thing like that? Answer: no, all of the executives involved in the 40% of existing businesses to be scrapped would be up in arms, and even the Archangel Gabriel could not sensibly suggest today that the company should go forthwith into the following 60 lines of business. So the company did what I think is the first essential thing in corporate planning: it sacked its corporate planner, and set up small "developments department". It decided that its strength was marketing consumer products (it had early been successful in advertising and selling some breakfast goo). Then it invited proposals for small ventures based on this strength. The new businesses have ranged from fashion goods through toys to restaurants. A spectacular example was that a film buff had heard that a film was being made which needed to find ways of getting more finance but looked as if it might become a cult among kids across the world in the five- to 12-year-old age group. Intrapreneurial question: what do we do? Answer: buy the franchise for toys with the film's name, and advertise in the trade press for small firms to submit particular toys which, if they passed the company's quality test, would carry the insignia. The film was called "Star Wars". Revenue went from nought to $100m in one year. Cautionary tale. When I last talked to a meeting of this company, it seemed to have developed a matrix Organization chart (which Reg Revans rightly calls a device for repudiating responsibility), lots of group vice-presidents in charge of different divisions named after products (which is exactly the wrong concept), a habit of buying existing businesses instead of creating ideas (oh dear). A second rescue story has been in Italian textiles, where one of that country's evanescent governments devised the best possible industrial policy partly by mistake. Previous governments had imposed bureaucratic controls on all companies, so this one said that any firm with fewer than 20 workers would be free from these. Of the 15,000 textile factories in the main textile town of Tuscany, 13,000 have fewer than 10 employees. One minister for industry who helped to spur this system was the professor who had translated my 1976 survey into Italian. The industry now has just about the highest textile wages in the world, and the frontier between the boss and worker moves all the time, because if the small works of which you are main owner fails you turn into being a friend's worker for a time. And this is not just one freak way of running an adaptive textile industry. In continually changing industries-which in future may mean all industries-it is increasingly going to be the only way, although the relation to the small producing unit of the big-firm-buyer doing the quality checking will vary.     …
Added by chris macrae at 11:30am on January 15, 2013
Topic: Tell us if you have had a meeting with Muhammad Yunus about action exciting 2010s
wanted to testify on genius economics    My family's commitments to dr yunus   To fund publication of leaflets on Consider Bangladesh - a genre Norman Macrae started in The Economist 1962 when he considered Japan as the country best for world trading with in the next 2 decades    To provide social business loan so that Yunus could sample the first issue of Journal of Social Business to 3000 leaders of his choice To provide a free interest loan to the African MIcrocredit http://jamibora.org To provide social business loans to http://the-hub.net with a particular focus on integrating destination hubs around the world's epicentres of social business with other hub future capitals worldwide  …
Added by chris macrae at 12:00pm on November 21, 2010
Comment on: Topic 'Life In Day Of (LIDO)'
g suggestion - tell us and what link to you to personalize if we use your editing suggestion  -chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk   THE LAST HUMAN RACE MAY DEPEND ON WHICH 10 MINUTE TRAININGS GET FIRST PLAY BY MILLION YOUTH MOOCS   Hi-Trust Entrepreneurial History , as well as studies of war and peace, shows that :   Exponentially      different impacts are caused by the opposite ways that purpose is mapped      by those who would power over others versus those who would empower others That      the way huge systems spin generations into sustainability of the loss of      it depends on whose values accesses the most micro molecule that even the      world's biggest systems are designed round That      if youth are ever to enjoy the interactive productivity and free trade of      a borderless world than Hayek's 1930s warning : if we learn one thing from      the 2 world wars it is dismantle economic planning at the national level.      Nothing can cause more below zero-sum consequences than that.   This worldwide viewpoint discusses the probability (tracked since 1972 in the genre The Economist called Entrepreneurial Revolution after seeing youth test early digital networks) that the future of everything 21st generation does will depend on what 10 minute training modules millions of youth first interact.   6 of the key value are explored through the mnemonic MOOC where m is for massive o is for open o is for online and c is for course or curriculum or collaboration   The acronym MOOC was coined by alumni of Berners Lee who wanted to get back to the internet by empowering the internet as youth smartest education and lifelong freedom media - the opposite of those who want the internet to become an appendage of how the tv advertising age ultimately became controlled by those who would power other people. see footnote on media isnt just the message but is giving away the commons and quality of community youth need most to grow up   However by 2013, 2 MOOC platforms were scaling to reach millions of youth- at least one of which looks destined to be simple to keep free from politicians if we can linkin empowerment practitioners first   What's common to these platforms is the 10 minute training module as the molecule around which everything is connected, and the geographical home of these platforms -coursera and khan academy that part of california closest to silicon valley and san francisco.   However there is more freedom in the khan academy model because anywhere can become a lab of 10 million youth connections through adapting its model based on 300$ software and the clarity of 10 minute audio with  virtual blackboard for the simplest maps or keywords,   Microeducation summit could be convened around such 10 million youth connectors of youth . Asia's      future of youth depends on such 10 million youth labs out of Bangladesh's BRAC out of wherever in Tokyo still respects emperor  hirohito's daring proclamation of his nation trasnsforming to empowering trade and free knowledge circulation around the region after losing world war 2 through the erroneous paradigm of trying to dominate neighbours   South      Africa's free university inspired by Gandhi and Mandela, and resourced by      likes of branson's Mandela elders, google africa and the steadfast hands      of Taddy Blecher an ex Monitor accountant of how value chains are      blueprinted. Kenya      first to experiment with  computer      recorded microcredit (jamii bora) and cashless banking MPESA whose alumni      are now focused on bkash through dhaka and MIT   While      San Francisco has done first financing of every web-linked paradigm , MIT      has maintained the us open education view point as home to berners lee,      the media lap started by $100 laptop but now empowering wizard tech youth      to experiment with every type of life saving app with bangladesh      (quadirs) and japanese (ito) expatriates cheerleading   France      in spite of coining entrepreneur to mean those prepared to renew society      by guillotining the 0,1% who would monopolise all productive assets seems      to have lost its twin role with scotland in questioning bottom up economics      but its other twin roles as major capital of enlightenment can be argued      to be regeneration out of Von Neumann's Budapest especially when such      extraordinary movers and shakers as Soros, Abed and Farmer linkin annual      retreats out of Budapest   Von Neumann's biography by Norman Macrae shows him to be not only father of computing but the most practical connector of the system design challenges that Einsteins and Keynes clarified in the 1930s- only economist exponentially design or destroy the futures youth need most. Whether Adam Smith know that was what he was starting depends on your interpretation of 2 things: his book on moral sentiments, and whether he wanted to end big nations destroying the freedom of smaller ones through banking scams- which had become Scotland's future history at start of the 1700s., and which in 2013 The Economist is in its 170th year of mediating (with eg Pearson's CEO Marjorie Scardino interested in aligning the future of textbooks with Sir Fazle Abed's views of affordable learning)   Could it be that Bangladesh's greatest revolution of all time was to find a way to serve the short-term goals set by international aid projects while maximising how that process built educational capacity of local youth. If so tens of millions of youth need to be sure they have access to that Bangladeshi practice curricula first.   Footnote on Media Crisis: A not-so peculiar accident of world war 2's impact of media, Hitler had the seemingly tiny advantage over the allies of endless replay of his radio broadcasts, whereas eg Churchill had to repeat every speech live. Politicians who would power over people have tried their damnedest to make sure they control all new media ever since. With one brave exception, Emperor Hirohito declared that Japan would hence forth celebrate empowerment in its world trade rather than powering over, and only politicians who respected that would serve while he breathed. The consequence became Asian Pacific worldwide youth century which Bangladesh took up the deepest global village solutions for soon after Independence. The Japan-Bangladesh-China axis remains critical today if Bangladesh is to stay an open democracy and if China is to join in MOOC in spite of every current US industrial-military complex provocation to the contrary that Obama has not been able to turn-round given what momentum 9/11 bush and wall street banks gave to 2000s being as depressing a start to 21st C as the 1900s were to Europe's coming decades of world wars  …
Added by chris macrae at 6:32am on June 20, 2013
Topic: Do you know how to design your greatest future opportunities?
ed the industrial landscape since 1875  - needs to come to an end in their current form by 2010. The most interesting question for economists and peoples worldwide is: what will need to take their place? . ... .. . - never in human history will so many change choices converge on one generation- what the greatest innovations for the human lot will have in common is investing in youth's skills in valuing massive collaboration and the need to include global village diversity   2013 update what we have so far gotten is the exact opposite of hi-trust entrepreneurial revolution - because the world's biggest future choices are being spun by a less diverse tribe of old people than ever ... .  .. - as Keynes warned there is a double whammy when the world's futures are increasingly only designed by economists and these economists hire themselves out to old people who ways of auditing and rewarding  co-wrkers demonstrate no interest in valuing sustainable futures let alone the greatest new goals a next generation could be standing for   We know of 2 main ways to take charge of your future's greatest opportunities - welcome other views explore the next collaboration gamechanger to the industry you know most about banking education energy &/or nutrition healthcare open tech mass media - heroes worth youth's life goals jobs by transforming community value chains place leaders pro-youth economist and professions connections between 2 or more of above....     ..swarm all your social networking around transforming latest greatest irresponsibility - eg spring 2013 clothing brands whose reality cheapens humanity... History since world war 2 has not yet caught up with the valuetrue story of the 3 nations with large populations that have enjoyed at least a generation of success in growing futures through genius economics Japan 1950-1980 Bangladesh Poorest 1972-2010 China 1972-2010 Of these three, China is the odd one out.  Japan and Bangladesh's successful future designs grew out of every community rising. China's odd case is explained by expatriate Chinese already being one of the wealthiest networks on earth.…
Added by chris macrae at 6:17am on May 2, 2013
Topic: 50s
ween exponential human advance and  immediate self-gratification. Dad would probably say mosr of his most innovative work came from a blend of timely access and curiosity. His adolescence had been shaped by had experiencing (in both fascist and communist context) how big get bigger organised use of propaganda causes violence, segmented racialisim  and all the negative emotional energies to multiply eg hate fear abuse depression loss of hope) But having survived what seemed in 1945 to be humanity's best last chance he had been given the professional opportunity d fortune of  right time, place (almost of forest gumpian proportions). Examples during first decade after world war 2 -being in last class tutored by keynes (lesson how/who locks in what futures are possible) marrying daughter of bombay chief justice who wrote up india's independence after 2 decades of mediation with Gandhi being hired as first post war graduate by the economist and mentored by geoffrey crowther  who had just edited the centenary autobiography -was the idea that a weekly newspaper could mediate human advancement fake? one of dad's core assignment track exponentially consequences of the launch of the british national health service; later as home affairs editor dad was set to track form 1995 whether launch of commercial tv in Uk was for better of for worse 1951 meeting and friending von neumann - questioning 100 time more tech was especially relevant to right time, place mediation 1955 being only journalist at messina birth of european union -where dad established a personal rapport with team jean monet's pure purpose 1962 being first western business journalist to survey what was Rising around Japan and all its closest traders across asia pacific (the world's largest population and due to process of western empire pub to world war 2 one where few people had previously had access to engineering infrastructure) Dad would probably say that breakthrough advances on SDG-quality of life during the 50s  as first decade of 100 time more than any other time decade he reported; or perhaps a more accurate summary was new value drivers -he called post-industrial revolution and service economies were in play- mankind was at least temporarily escaping immediate extinction leaving all to play for in terms of new compound opportunities and threats humans did indeed  outlast stalin who had from the 1930s been as mad or as bad as hitler the happiest giant leap for humans demonstrated in 1950s gravitated around borlaug  alumni - collaborating with local farming methods worldwide showed that most risks of famine could be ended -in the sense that mother nature's diversity was an abundant supplier even for doubling of population 1980-1945 advanced nations were rebooted including the 2  advanced engineering losers of ww2 (Germany and Japan) kennedy was calling for interdependence of nations ; he turned 100 time moore visions of sixties beings into the mission impossible moon race ( even in afghanistan - according to  epidemiologist larry brilliant - the hills were llive with the chatter of optimism - if humans can moon race , life on earth will soon look up)  while there was a  huge amount to be done if engines were to benefit all people (reconciled by colonial empires to those they had been harmed (slavery, genocide of native peoples, colonisation had sadly been mainly scaled by white males ) or simply left out of the machine age that Glasgow started in 1760s) multilaterals such as the united nations seemed to be on this case with the exception of the ussr from late 1962 many tipping point opportunities started to go wrong in father's view; while nobody would agree with all his sections. historians who do not catalogue tipping points because they might reflect badly on their nations should not be valued and certainly should not be examining youth. There is a lot of talk in the 2020s about whether artificial intel will be a good thing. Ultimately this depends on how deep the sdg-quality of  data the ai applies. …
Added by chris macrae at 11:30am on April 20, 2022
Comment on: Topic 'happy 2013-2018 last 6 years of The Economist's 175 year journey to mediate Ind…'
earch for patient capital investors and the most urgent social startups all over the world now that new laws for crowdfunding are expected in usa. As I think I told you, as far as my knowledge goes there is nowhere in usa more exciting to network into than MIT. Is there anyone in Tokyo that you would recommend that I can put the MIT student in contact with during her January visit? Happy 2013 Chris Macrae …
Added by chris macrae at 2:47pm on December 18, 2012
Comment on: Topic 'The Economist timeline of Death of Advertising-Led Nations, and Birth of Creati…'
ape of global finacialy system started. Note the last 3 pages of Keynes General Theiry explain that youth's greatest risk is elderly macroeconomists because increasingly their systems design what futures are possible   1976 First survey of Entreprenurial Revoloution as a worldwide curriculum. NOrman macrae had actually coined Entrepreneurial Revolution in some early national leadership surveys in hos series that began in 1962 with consider Japan- by 1975 proposed Asia Paccific Colaboration century with desperate need to value China as the greatest collaboration system humnanity had ever valued   1984 book mapping next 3 billion jobs- bottom-up and openly mediated ost-industrail revolution abundance if smat networked media coule replac dumbing down tv ads, and green abundance could transform communities befoire drowing in carbon-celebrating maasive hunts for microfranchiseswith worldwide youth will be a critical transformation process as will uniting human race around the greatest collaboration goals any millennium has ever advanced…
Added by chris macrae at 9:06am on November 2, 2013
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ENTREPRENEURIAL REVOLUTION NETWORK BENCHMARKS 2025now : Remembering Norman Macrae

cvchrismacrae.docx

2025REPORT-ER: Entrepreneurial Revolution est 1976; Neumann Intelligence Unit at The Economist since 1951. Norman Macrae's & friends 75 year mediation of engineers of computing & autonomous machines  has reached overtime: Big Brother vs Little Sister !?

Overtime help ed weekly quizzes on Gemini of Musk & Top 10 AI brains until us election nov 2028

MUSKAI.docx

unaiwho.docx version 6/6/22 hunt for 100 helping guterres most with UN2.0

RSVP chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk

EconomistDiary.com 

Prep for UNSUMMITFUTURE.com

JOIN SEARCH FOR UNDER 30s MOST MASSIVE COLLABS FOR HUMAN SUSTAINABILITY

1 Jensen Huang 2 Demis Hassabis 3 Dei-Fei Li 4 King Charles

5 Bezos Earth (10 bn) 6 Bloomberg JohnsHopkins  cbestAI.docx 7 Banga

8 Maurice Chang 9 Mr & Mrs Jerry Yang 10 Mr & Mrs Joseph Tsai 11 Musk

12 Fazle Abed 13 Ms & Mr Steve Jobs 14 Melinda Gates 15 BJ King 16 Benioff

17 Naomi Osaka 18 Jap Emperor Family 19 Akio Morita 20 Mayor Koike

The Economist 1982 why not Silicon AI Valley Everywhere 21 Founder Sequoia 22 Mr/Mrs Anne Doerr 23 Condi Rice

23 MS & Mr Filo 24 Horvitz 25 Michael Littman NSF 26 Romano Prodi 27 Andrew Ng 29 Lila Ibrahim 28 Daphne Koller

30 Mayo Son 31 Li Ka Shing 32 Lee Kuan Yew 33 Lisa Su  34 ARM 36 Priscilla Chan

38 Agnelli Family 35 Ms Tan & Mr Joe White

37 Yann Lecun 39 Dutch Royal family 40 Romano Prodi

41 Kramer  42 Tirole  43 Rachel Glennerster 44 Tata 45 Manmohan Singh 46 Nilekani 47 James Grant 48 JimKim, 49 Guterres

50 attenborough 51 Gandhi 52 Freud 53 St Theresa 54 Montessori  55 Sunita Gandhu,56 paulo freire 57 Marshall Mcluhan58 Andrew Sreer 59 Lauren Sanchez,  60 David Zapolski

61 Harris 62 Chips Act Raimundo 63 oiv Newsom. 64 Arati Prab hakarm,65 Jennifer Doudna CrispR, 66 Oren Etsioni,67 Robert Reisch,68 Jim Srreyer  69 Sheika Moza

- 3/21/22 HAPPY 50th Birthday TO WORLD'S MOST SUSTAINABLE ECONOMY- ASIAN WOMEN SUPERVILLAGE

Since gaining my MA statistics Cambridge DAMTP 1973 (Corpus Christi College) my special sibject has been community building networks- these are the 6 most exciting collaboration opportunities my life has been privileged to map - the first two evolved as grassroots person to person networks before 1996 in tropical Asian places where village women had no access to electricity grids nor phones- then came mobile and solar entrepreneurial revolutions!! 

COLLAB platforms of livesmatter communities to mediate public and private -poorest village mothers empowering end of poverty    5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5  5.6


4 livelihood edu for all 

4.1  4.2  4.3  4.4  4.5 4.6


3 last mile health services  3.1 3,2  3.3  3.4   3.5   3.6


last mile nutrition  2.1   2.2   2.3   2.4  2.5  2,6


banking for all workers  1.1  1.2  1.3   1.4   1.5   1.6


NEWS FROM LIBRARY NORMAN MACRAE -latest publication 2021 translation into japanese biography of von neumann:

Below: neat German catalogue (about half of dad's signed works) but expensive  -interesting to see how Germans selected the parts  they like over time: eg omitted 1962 Consider Japan The Economist 

feel free to ask if free versions are available 

0 The coming entrepreneurial revolution : a survey Macrae, Norman - In: The economist 261 (1976), pp. 41-65 cited 105 

 Macrae,Norman -1976
cited 21
2 The London Capital Market : its structure, strains and management Macrae, Norman - 1955
 Macrae,Norman - 1963  
Macrae, Norman - In: IPA review / Institute of PublicAffairs 25 (1971) 3, pp. 67-72  
 Macrae, Norman - The Economist 257 (1975), pp. 1-44 
6 The future of international business Macrae, Norman - In: Transnational corporations and world order : readings …, (pp. 373-385). 1979 >
7 Future U.S. growth and leadershipMacrae, Norman - In: FutureQuest : new views of economic growth, (pp. 49-60). 1977 Check Google Scholar | 
Future U.S. growth and leadership assessed from abroad Macrae, Norman - In: Prospects for growth : changing expectations for the future, (pp. 127-140). 1977 Check Google Scholar | 
9Entrepreneurial Revolution - next capitalism: in hi-tech left=right=center; The Economist 1976
 9bis Into entrepreneurial socialism Macrae, Norman - In: The economist 286 (1983), pp. 23-29 
10 Do We Want a Fat, Corrupt Russia or a Thin, Dangerous One?
N Macrae - Worldview, 1981 - cambridge.org
… Even if Japan scales up efforts in military defense after such clarification, Japan's defense
spending is estimated to remain within 2 per cent of its GNP. Serious consideration should be
given to the fact that realization of new defense policies and military buildup in Japan is 
 11 Must Japan slow? : a survey Macrae, Norman -  The Economist 274 (1980), pp. 1-42 
12 No Christ on the Andes : an economic survey of Latin America by the Economist
 
13Oh, Brazil : a survey Macrae, Norman - The Economist 272 (1979), pp. 1-22 
14To let? : a study of the expedient pledge on rents included in the Conservative election manifesto in Oct., 1959 Macrae, Norman - 1960  
 15 Toward monetary stability : an evolutionary tale of a snake and an emu
Macrae, Norman -In: European community (1978), pp. 3-6
16 Whatever happened to British planning? Macrae, Norman - CapitalismToday, (pp. 140-148). 1971 Check Google Scholar | 
  Macrae, Norman - In: Kapitalismus heute, (pp. 191-204). 1974
18 How the EEC makes decisions MacRae, Norman - In: Readings in international business, (pp. 193-200). 1972 Check Google Scholar | 
Macrae, Norman - 1972
20 The London Capital Market : Its structure, strains and management Macrae, Norman - 1955
 21 The coming revolution in communications and its implications for business Macrae, Norman - 1978
 22 A longer-term perspective on international stability : thirteen propositions
Macrae, Norman; Bjøl, Erling - In: Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift 114 (1976) 1, pp. 158-168
Full text | 
23a 
Homes for the people
Macrae, Norman Alastair Duncan - 1967
Check Google Scholar
 The risen sun : Japan ; a survey by the Economist Macrae, Norman - In: The economist 223 (1967), pp. 1-32,1-29 Check full text access | 
MacFarquhar, Emily; Beedham, Brian; Macrae, Norman - The Economist 265 (1977), pp. 13-42
27 FIRST: - Heresies - Russia's economy is rotten to the core. The West should concentrate on exploiting profitable opportunities to improve it, not on supporting particular politicia...
28 The Hobart century : publ. by the Institute of Economic Affairs
Macrae, Norman Alastair Duncan - 1984
Check Google Scholar 
29 REINVENTING SOCIETY
Macrae, Norman - In: Economic affairs : journal of the Institute of Economic … 14 (1994) 3, pp. 38-39
30  How the EEC makes decisions
Macrae, Norman Alastair Duncan - In: The Atlantic community quarterly 8 (1970) 3, pp. 363-371 and in
How the EEC makes decisions
MacRae, Norman - In: Readings in international business, (pp. 193-200). 1972
31The green bay tree
South Africa Macrae, Norman Alastair Duncan - In: The economist 227 (1968), pp. 9-46
32 A longer-term perspective on international stability : thirteen propositions
Macrae, Norman; Bjøl, Erling - In: Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift 114 (1976) 1, pp. 158-168

. we scots are less than 4/1000 of the worlds and 3/4 are Diaspora - immigrants in others countries. Since 2008 I have been celebrating Bangladesh Women Empowerment solutions wth NY graduates. Now I want to host love each others events in new york starting this week with hong kong-contact me if we can celebrate anoither countries winm-wins with new yorkers

mapping OTHER ECONOMIES:

50 SMALLEST ISLAND NATIONS

TWO Macroeconomies FROM SIXTH OF PEOPLE WHO ARE WHITE & war-prone

ADemocratic

Russian

=============

From 60%+ people =Asian Supercity (60TH YEAR OF ECONOMIST REPORTING - SEE CONSIDER JAPAN1962)

Far South - eg African, Latin Am, Australasia

Earth's other economies : Arctic, Antarctic, Dessert, Rainforest

===========

In addition to how the 5 primary sdgs1-5 are gravitated we see 6 transformation factors as most critical to sustainability of 2020-2025-2030

Xfactors to 2030 Xclimate XAI Xinfra Xyouth Wwomen Xpoor chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk (scot currently  in washington DC)- in 1984 i co-authored 2025 report with dad norman.

Asia Rising Surveys

  • 1962 Consider Japan: 1967 Japan Rising part 2.1
    • 7 May 1977 survey of Two Billion People- Asia
    • 1975 Asian Pacific Century 1975-2075 1977 survey China

  • The Economist.  Can we help peoples of Russia 1963..


    The Economist. what do Latin Americans need  1965.

     
    The Economist. Saturday, has washington dc lost happiness for ever? 1969.

Entrepreneurial Revolution -would endgame of one 40-year generations of applying Industrial Revolution 3,4 lead to sustainability of extinction

1972's Next 40 Years ;1976's Coming Entrepreneurial Revolution; 12 week leaders debate 1982's We're All Intrapreneurial Now

  • What will human race produce in 20th C Q4? - Jan 1975
  • (1984 book 2025 vreport on net generation 3 billion job creation) ...translated in different languages to 1993's Sweden's new vikings
  • 1991 Survey looking forward to The End of Politicians
  • 1996 oxford union debate- why political systems can adapt ahead of time to sustainability changes millennials will encounter
  • biography of von neumann in English and Japanese

The Economist had been founded   in 1843" marking one of 6 exponential timeframes "Future Histores"

IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADAMSMITH.app :

we offer worldwide mapping view points from

1 2 now to 2025-30

and these viewpoints:

40 years ago -early 1980s when we first framed 2025 report;

from 1960s when 100 times more tech per decade was due to compound industrial revolutions 3,4 

1945 birth of UN

1843 when the economist was founded

1760s - adam smithian 2 views : last of pre-engineering era; first 16 years of engineering ra including america's declaration of independence- in essence this meant that to 1914 continental scaling of engineeriing would be separate new world <.old world

conomistwomen.com

IF we 8 billion earthlings of the 2020s are to celebrate collaboration escapes from extinction, the knowhow of the billion asian poorest women networks will be invaluable -

in mathematically connected ways so will the stories of diaspora scots and the greatest mathematicians ever home schooled -central european jewish teens who emigrated eg Neumann , Einstein ... to USA 2nd quarter of the 20th century; it is on such diversity that entrepreneurial revolution diaries have been shaped 

EconomistPOOR.com : Dad was born in the USSR in 1923 - his dad served in British Embassies. Dad's curiosity enjoyed the opposite of a standard examined education. From 11+ Norman observed results of domination of humans by mad white men - Stalin from being in British Embassy in Moscow to 1936; Hitler in Embassy of last Adriatic port used by Jews to escape Hitler. Then dad spent his last days as a teen in allied bomber command navigating airplanes stationed at modernday Myanmar. Surviving thanks to the Americas dad was in Keynes last class where he was taught that only a handful of system designers control what futures are possible. EconomistScotland.com AbedMooc.com

To help mediate such, question every world eventwith optimistic rationalism, my father's 2000 articles at The Economist interpret all sorts of future spins. After his 15th year he was permitted one signed survey a year. In the mid 1950s he had met John Von Neumann whom he become biographer to , and was the only journalist at Messina's's birth of EU. == If you only have time for one download this one page tour of COLLABorations composed by Fazle Abed and networked by billion poorest village women offers clues to sustainability from the ground up like no white ruler has ever felt or morally audited. by London Scot James Wilson. Could Queen Victoria change empire fro slavemaking to commonwealth? Some say Victoria liked the challenge James set her, others that she gave him a poison pill assignment. Thus James arrived in Calcutta 1860 with the Queens permission to charter a bank by and for Indian people. Within 9 months he died of diarrhea. 75 years later Calcutta was where the Young Fazle Abed grew up - his family accounted for some of the biggest traders. Only to be partitioned back at age 11 to his family's home region in the far north east of what had been British Raj India but was now to be ruled by Pakistan for 25 years. Age 18 Abed made the trek to Glasgow University to study naval engineering.

  • 0 China 
  • 1 Japan/Asean
  • 2 Bangla and India
  • 3 Russia
  • 4 East Euro
  • 5 West Euro
  • 6 Usa & Canada

new york

  • 7 Middle East & Stans
  • 8 Med Sea
  • 9 Africa
  • 10 Latin Am /Carib
  • 11 Arctic Circle
  • 12 UN

1943 marked centenary autobio of The Economist and my teenage dad Norman prepping to be navigator allied bomber command Burma Campaign -thanks to US dad survived, finished in last class of Keynes. before starting 5 decades at The Economist; after 15 years he was allowed to sign one survey a year starting in 1962 with the scoop that Japan (Korea S, Taiwan soon hk singapore) had found development mp0de;s for all Asian to rise. Rural Keynes could end village poverty & starvation; supercity win-win trades could celebrate Neumanns gift of 100 times more tech per decade (see macrae bio of von neumann)

Since 1960 the legacy of von neumann means ever decade multiplies 100 times more micro-technology- an unprecedented time for better or worse of all earthdwellers; 2025 timelined and mapped innovation exponentials - education, health, go green etc - (opportunities threats) to celebrating sustainability generation by 2025; dad parted from earth 2010; since then 2 journals by adam smith scholars out of Glasgow where engines began in 1760- Social Business; New Economics have invited academic worlds and young graduates to question where the human race is going - after 30 business trips to wealthier parts of Asia, through 2010s I have mainly sherpa's young journalist to Bangladesh - we are filing 50 years of cases on women empowerment at these web sites AbedMOOC.com FazleAbed.com EconomistPoor.com EconomistUN.com WorldRecordjobs.com Economistwomen.com Economistyouth.com EconomistDiary.com UNsummitfuture.com - in my view how a billion asian women linked together to end extreme poverty across continental asia is the greatest and happiest miracle anyone can take notes on - please note the rest of this column does not reflect my current maps of how or where the younger half of the world need to linkin to be the first sdg generation......its more like an old scrap book

 how do humans design futures?-in the 2020s decade of the sdgs – this question has never had more urgency. to be or not to be/ – ref to lessons of deming or keynes, or glasgow university alumni smith and 200 years of hi-trust economics mapmaking later fazle abed - we now know how-a man made system is defined by one goal uniting generations- a system multiplies connected peoples work and demands either accelerating progress to its goal or collapsing - sir fazle abed died dec 2020 - so who are his most active scholars climate adaptability where cop26 november will be a great chance to renuite with 260 years of adam smith and james watts purposes t end poverty-specifically we interpret sdg 1 as meaning next girl or boy born has fair chance at free happy an productive life as we seek to make any community a child is born into a thriving space to grow up between discover of new worlds in 1500 and 1945 systems got worse and worse on the goal eg processes like slavery emerged- and ultimately the world was designed around a handful of big empires and often only the most powerful men in those empires. 4 amazing human-tech systems were invented to start massive use by 1960 borlaug agriculture and related solutions every poorest village (2/3people still had no access to electricity) could action learn person to person- deming engineering whose goal was zero defects by helping workers humanize machines- this could even allowed thousands of small suppliers to be best at one part in machines assembled from all those parts) – although americans invented these solution asia most needed them and joyfully became world class at them- up to 2 billion people were helped to end poverty through sharing this knowhow- unlike consuming up things actionable knowhow multiplies value in use when it links through every community that needs it the other two technologies space and media and satellite telecoms, and digital analytic power looked promising- by 1965 alumni of moore promised to multiply 100 fold efficiency of these core tech each decade to 2030- that would be a trillion tmes moore than was needed to land on the moon in 1960s. you might think this tech could improve race to end poverty- and initially it did but by 1990 it was designed around the long term goal of making 10 men richer than 40% poorest- these men also got involved in complex vested interests so that the vast majority of politicians in brussels and dc backed the big get bigger - often they used fake media to hide what they were doing to climate and other stuff that a world trebling in population size d\ - we the 3 generations children parents grandparents have until 2030 to design new system orbits gravitated around goal 1 and navigating the un's other 17 goals do you want to help/ 8 cities we spend most time helping students exchange sustainability solutions 2018-2019 BR0 Beijing Hangzhou: 

Girls world maps begin at B01 good news reporting with fazleabed.com  valuetrue.com and womenuni.com

.==========

online library of norman macrae--

==========

MA1 AliBaba TaoBao

Ma 2 Ali Financial

Ma10.1 DT and ODPS

  • 1972's Next 40 Years ;
  • 1976's Coming Entrepreneurial Revolution; 12 week leaders debate
  • 1982's We're All Intrapreneurial Now
  • What will human race produce in 20th C Q4? - Jan 1975
  • (1984 book on net generation 3 billion job creation) ...
  • 1991 Survey looking forward to The End of Politicians
  • 1975 Asian Pacific Century 1975-2075
  • 1977 survey China
  • first of 4 hemisphere remembrance parties- The Economist Boardroom

health catalogue; energy catalogue

Keynes: 2025now - jobs Creating Gen

.

how poorest women in world build

A01 BRAC health system,

A02 BRAC education system,

A03 BRAC banking system

K01 Twin Health System - Haiti& Boston

Past events EconomistDiary.com

include 15th annual spring collaboration cafe new york - 2022 was withsister city hong kong designers of metaverse for beeings.app

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